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Southern NSW

G'day

 

I hope 2026 is kind to you and your families. 

 

We are now into the second half of the season, approaching the end of January, which traditionally means cut-out, in order to set crops up for a timely picking. 

 

The season to date has presented a range of challenges, including a difficult 6 weeks from mid-October through November. Water remains a challenge for some growers. Given crops range from 17 nodes through to 22 nodes and with significant differences in crop biomass, a wide range of yield outcomes can be expected. 

 

General thinking on yields is a range from 7-8 bales/ha, up to 13-14 bales/ha. 

 

This variability in expected yield outcomes demands specific strategies. Firstly, as yield potential is currently being set (flowering), water demand is paramount to avoid yield decline. It would make sense to give all crops this opportunity to maximise yield potential as there is always the chance of getting a storm in the back end of February. 

 

Beyond that happening, saving or gaining a bale still exceeds the cost of 0.7 or 0.8 ML to finish watering the crop in late Febuary/early March. 

Some tough decisions will need to be made in the next 3-4 weeks. Well worth the time to go through every field with your Agronomist/Consultant to work out water demand and test the economics of buying water if you are facing a shortfall. 

 

For those of you using CottonTracka, adding boll counts now will give you a yield estimate and let you gauge how your water decisions are affecting the crop. This estimate will be a useful adjunct to your own estimates and help add some clarity to your decision making. 

 

In addition, the link below will take you to a useful video, presented by Michael Bange and James Quinn, which discusses strategies to manage crops in water constrained seasons. 

CottonInfo webinar: What does it take to yield well with limited water?

Another consideration, and this is not a prediction, is that the January to March 1532 Day Degrees total is on a similar trajectory to last season.

 

For example, Griffith finished on 829 (1532) Day Degrees last year. Forecast temperatures to the end of March suggest we could finish well above 800 (1532) Day Degrees, well above 700 (1532) Day Degrees, which is considered a reliable marker for good cotton quality. 

 

Predicted 1532 Cumulative Day Degrees 

south feb 1

So, water aside, the outlook for the end of the season remains positive, but if you want to see some of the trials or reach out with any other questions, then please get in touch.

 

Finally, the FastStart pathways programme for young agronomists is on again. Click here for the sign up form for anyone who is interested in applying

 

Cheers,

Michael

michael

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Cotton Seed Distributors, 'Shenstone', 2952 Culgoora Road, Wee Waa, New South Wales 2388, Australia, 02 6795 0000

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© Cotton Seed Distributors Ltd 2026. General guide only; not comprehensive or specific technical advice. Circumstances vary from farm to farm. To the fullest extent permitted by law, CSD expressly disclaims all liability for any loss or damage arising from reliance upon any information, statement or opinion in this document or from any errors or omissions in this document. Roundup Ready Flex®, Roundup Ready®, Bollgard II® and Bollgard® 3 are registered trademarks of Monsanto Technologies LLC, used under licence by Monsanto Australia Ltd. Insect control technology incorporated into these seeds is commercialised under a licence from Syngenta Crop Protection AG. Sicot, Sicala, Siokra and Sipima cotton varieties are a result of a joint venture research program, Cotton Breeding Australia, conducted by CSIRO and Cotton Seed Distributors Ltd (CSD). CSD is a partner in the CottonInfo joint venture, in partnership with Cotton Research Development Corporation and Cotton Australia